On Saturday, Trump began his tweet-storm which alleged some crazy-sounding things about former President Obama.
Terrible! Just found out that Obama had my “wires tapped” in Trump Tower just before the victory. Nothing found. This is McCarthyism!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) March 4, 2017
Is it legal for a sitting President to be “wire tapping” a race for president prior to an election? Turned down by court earlier. A NEW LOW!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) March 4, 2017
It seemed kooky at the time. A pretty huge allegation without much of anything to back it up. But perhaps it should be viewed for the effect it had rather than for its content.
The allegations did two things.
First, it shifted the media narrative that seemed to be circling non-stop about Trump and Russia. Despite the lack of any evidence that Trump conspired with the Russians to thwart the election, the media continues to pile on this story. It seems to be an unbelievable modern version of McCarthyism in which now even speaking with the Russians by a Trump Administration member is akin to a black mark.
But the second thing Trump’s tweets did was it brought the entire issue of the wiretapping of Trump into focus. Reports on this had already been published in the media, including a January 20, 2017 story in the New York Times that had pretty much escaped the notice of the public at large. With Trump’s tweets, however, the story was given a second life and led to its discussion on the weekend talk shows. One of these included former DNI James Clapper to state publicly that there was “no such wiretap activity” on Trump.
Perhaps more importantly, he made a statement to Chuck Todd of NBC that the Trump-Russian connection lacked evidence:
Clapper was also asked on “Meet the Press” if he had any evidence that the Trump campaign was colluding with the Russian government while the Kremlin was working to influence the election.
“Not to my knowledge,” Clapper said, based on the information he had before his time in the position ended.
“We did not include anything in our report … that had any reflect of collusion between members of the Trump campaign and the Russians. There was no evidence of that included in our report,” he said. “We had no evidence of such collusion.”
The effect of this is that the intelligence community took a step forward to vouch for Trump in the media-driven Trump-Russia issue. If no wiretap was authorized, then it also means that probable cause for a wiretap did not exist, which further strengthens Trump’s case that there was no collusion with Russia. Effectively, this “killed the Russian meme”, as Don Surber put it. It means that any behind-the-scenes investigations into Trump by the federal government probably weren’t all they were cracked up to be. And if an illegal wiretap was issued then it opens up a whole different can of worms which also plays in Trump’s favor and against Obama.
This is all very significant. But even apart from this, recent events have also pitted the intelligence community against mainstream media outlets, such as the New York Times, in their prior reporting that wiretapping had been done. Based on what Clapper said, the New York Times reported some “fake news” of its own. This takes wind out of the sails of credibility given to the paper and to any other MSM outlet that reported on wiretaps in the past.
Going forward, Trump has a bolstered case and faces off against a weakened mainstream media. The Trump-Russia story will now be intertwined with the Obama-wiretapping issue, so the media will be forced to deal with the negative Obama fallout as it tries to shut down Trump.
Does Trump lose in this at all? Marginally. Assuming his tweets were exaggerations and imprecise, he comes across as a person who exaggerates and is imprecise. However, these are already characteristics reflected in the public’s perception of him. In other words, it’s not going to change people’s views of him much.
Trump’s weekend tweets, while at first appearing to be knee-jerk reactions that only exacerbated his problems, now appear to be borderline brilliant. Faced with mounting problems posed by multiple powerful foes, he made a cunning move that leveled them both while leaving himself relatively unscathed.